Federal Home (Germany) Performance

FHL Stock  EUR 6.20  0.15  2.48%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.16, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Federal Home will likely underperform. At this point, Federal Home Loan has a negative expected return of -0.31%. Please make sure to confirm Federal Home's treynor ratio, skewness, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and value at risk , to decide if Federal Home Loan performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Federal Home Loan has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow23.9 B
Free Cash Flow16.4 B
  

Federal Home Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  815.00  in Federal Home Loan on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (195.00) from holding Federal Home Loan or give up 23.93% of portfolio value over 90 days. Federal Home Loan is producing return of less than zero assuming 5.2846% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 47% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Federal Home, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Federal Home is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 7.13 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Federal Home Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Federal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.20 90 days 6.20 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federal Home to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Federal Home Loan probability density function shows the probability of Federal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.16 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Federal Home will likely underperform. Additionally Federal Home Loan has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Federal Home Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Federal Home

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federal Home Loan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.926.2011.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.595.8711.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.776.0611.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.597.629.65
Details

Federal Home Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federal Home is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federal Home's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federal Home Loan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federal Home within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Federal Home Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federal Home for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federal Home Loan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Federal Home Loan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Federal Home Loan has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Federal Home Fundamentals Growth

Federal Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Federal Home, and Federal Home fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Federal Stock performance.

About Federal Home Performance

Assessing Federal Home's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Federal Home's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Federal Home is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.

Things to note about Federal Home Loan performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Federal Home for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Federal Home Loan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Federal Home Loan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Federal Home Loan has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Evaluating Federal Home's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Federal Home's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Federal Home's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Federal Home's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Federal Home's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Federal Home's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Federal Home's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Federal Home's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Federal Home's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Federal Home's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Federal Home's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Federal Stock Analysis

When running Federal Home's price analysis, check to measure Federal Home's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal Home is operating at the current time. Most of Federal Home's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal Home's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal Home's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal Home to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.